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The Market is a Great Teaching Tool

· Lagniappe

After another positive week in the markets, we’ll go through our weekly inflation check-in, re-examining our own opinions over the past year and looking ahead to what the Fed can/will do next. We’ll then take note of the big bank forecasts that are rolling in and how they compare to last year’s and discuss why in times of elevation in volatility, bearish opinions come out of the woodwork.

Key Takeaways

[00:17] - Checking in on inflation numbers [04:27] - The attractiveness of bonds [08:08] - Why we see bearish opinions pop up in times like these [12:44] - Looking at big banks’ previous and 2024 forecasts [17:38] - The relationship between inflation/deflation and day-to-day economics

Links

Vanguard: Historical returns on fixed income and equities S&P 500 is now up almost 8% since Morgan Stanley CIO Mike Wilson said there would be no year-end rally on October 30 Famed Big Short Investor Michael Burry closed his short position in the S&P 500 Goldman Sachs: The US economy is on its final descent to a soft landing Ben Carlson: Remember in 2022 when everyone was betting on $200 oil? It's currently below $80

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Doug Stokes Greg Stokes Stokes Family Office

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